2008 CCJ Notes
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A few thoughts before the March 31, 2008 City Council meeting:

City Manager's Agenda - The nature of the Manager's Agenda changes from week to week. Some weeks feature one or two major fiscal items such as last week's setting of the water & sewer rates, the mid-May vote on the annual budget, and the setting of the property tax rates in the fall. (The Manager always correctly points out that the City Council merely votes on tax classification, exemptions, and various other parameters, and the Mass. Department of Revenue sets the rates.) The primary focus of this week's Manager's Agenda is catching up on Council requests for reports on various matters. Of the 26 items on "Awaiting Report", the Manager answers 10 this week covering topics from parking meters to bicycles to rodents to block grants to tree plantings to bricks on Cedar Street. Not too sexy or controversial, but these are all part of managing a city.

Last week's Council Order from Mayor Simmons regarding possible changes to the rules governing Public Comment at City Council meetings is sure to elicit further response from the usual suspects. It's been funny watching the reactions to this highly non-specific Order that doesn't actually propose any changes, though you would never know it from the reactions. A little history may be helpful here. There are few people among those who now attend Council meetings who go back to times before the current protocols were in place, but I am one of them. The reporters, in particular, have no basis for comparison. It used to be that if you wanted to speak on a particular item, you waited until that item came up during the meeting and you stepped up to the microphone and were recognized by the Chair. The great advantage of that system was that members of the public were obliged to address a specific agenda item at the time the item was under discussion. I preferred that system because it allowed those who had something serious to say to do so when that topic was before the Council. It was not uncommon that there would even be some interaction between the councillors and the person making the comments. The major down side of that system was that you had to stick around until your item came up, and some of those meetings could run pretty long.

Because rent control was always the big deal of the day, this meant that you could count on seeing Mike Turk, Connie Thibault, Bill Noble and others from the Cambridge Tenants Union dutifully occupying their usual seats in the Sullivan Chamber just in case anything involving rent control came up during the meeting. We were also blessed with the presence of Bill Jones who would regularly offer his perspectives on current events and local history (though not always accurately) when he was not partaking of the plentiful food provided in the Council's Green Room. Though everyone was supposed to address specific agenda items, it was an unwritten rule that Mr. Jones could stray somewhat from the agenda. Say what you will about Billy, but none of the would-be comedians who now work the Sullivan Chamber can hold a candle to Mr. Jones in terms of pure entertainment. More importantly, just about everyone liked Billy Jones. That cannot be said of today's crop of crabby complainers.

One East Cambridge woman at last week's meeting who generally speaks intelligently on matters of substance during Public Comment seemed upset at possibly being lumped in with the "nut cases". Let's be clear about this. Whether or not you want to see some changes in the protocols governing Public Comment, no one wants to curtail the rights of any member of the public to speak on relevant matters before the City Council. The principal problem, as I see it, is that some members of the public feel they have license to use this opportunity to mock and attack anyone and everyone for no purpose other than to draw attention to themselves. I agree with Councillor Toomey that the rules as they stand do not need to be changed. They merely need to be enforced - perhaps, in some cases, with an iron hand. Most or all of the principal abusers of Public Comment have “blogs” in which they freely express themselves - just as I freely express myself on this website (as I am doing now). Nobody is obliged to read my erratic ramblings. Anyone can similarly read “From the Port” or “Enough Room” if they want to listen to the erratic ramblings of Councillor Podgers or Councillor Bercaw. Free speech reigns.

Anyone who reads my ramblings can easily discern some of my likes and dislikes of elected officials and others who work in the City administration. Most have picked up on the fact that I'm generally supportive of candidates (new ones in particular), elected officials, department heads, and City workers. I actually believe Cambridge is a well-run city - as compared to many other Massachusetts cities, especially those without a city manager form of government. This doesn't mean I believe there's no room for improvement. I think we do a piss-poor job of community policing, we don't do nearly enough to address problems of vandalism and loud cars, and I believe there are a number of City programs that exist primarily to preserve the jobs of those who work in them. I will likely never be convinced that city councillors need personal aides (perhaps better referred to as Sullivan chambermaids or manservants). I am flabbergasted by some of the salary levels in the City administration and how the elected officials go along to get along just as long as we're flush with property tax revenue. It bothers me that the executive director of the Election Commission treats one of the best friends the commission ever had like an enemy for no rational reason, and I still believe that the Dept. of Traffic & Parking owes me $80 for towing my VW Bus away without warning. Then again, my mechanic has been holding my Bus hostage in Natick since December 13, so T&P is looking pretty good in comparison.

Cambridge water is good enough to win prizes, and that doesn't happen by accident. The Cambridge Department of Public Works has a public service philosophy that can't be beat. If anyone wants to complain about the condition of Cambridge sidewalks or snow plowing, they should visit almost any other city or town in Massachusetts to see just how good we are in comparison. Cambridge is way ahead of most cities in terms of recycling and environmental initiatives - and the City Manager deserves most of the credit for this. I attended a public hearing last week about the Cambridge Energy Alliance and the programs they will be providing for Cambridge residents and businesses, and it made me feel very proud to live in this city. Though some of the City Manager's appointments are, in my opinion, driven by the desire to avoid trouble rather than to improve things, I still believe Mr. Healy is possibly the best in the business and, unlike some of the naysayers, I believe our multiple AAA bond ratings speak volumes about how well this city is managed.

Hmmm... maybe I should say that during Public Comment, but it's not on the agenda and I don't know if I can squeeze it in under three minutes.  -- Robert Winters

Coming up at the March 24, 2008 City Council meeting:

Water and Sewer Rates - "That the City Council approve the following block rates for water consumption and sewer use for the period beginning Apr 1, 2008 and ending Mar 31, 2009. The City administration and City Council continue to recognize that it is important to mitigate the effects of water and sewer increases both for FY09 and future fiscal years as much as possible. Therefore, I am pleased to submit a recommendation that calls for a 2.1% increase in the water rate, a 4.8% increase in the sewer rate and a 3.9% increase in the combined rate."

Resolution #15. Resolution on the death of Isaac Meyers.   Councillor Davis
Order #1. That the City Manager is requested to report back to the City Council on how the March 17 accident in Central Square happened and that said report back contain a copy of the relevant police report to the extent that that information may be shared.   Councillor Kelley, Councillor Seidel and Councillor Davis

Suffice to say that this intersection where trucks turn right from River St. onto Mass. Ave. is hazardous for pedestrians - especially for those who don't consider the mechanics of a turning truck with a long wheel base. The death was both horrible and preventable.

Order #5. That the City Manager is requested to report back to the City Council on the City's policies and regulations concerning the number of unrelated people living in the same dwelling unit and any suggestions to modify that number.   Councillor Kelley

Monkey See, Monkey Do. The City of Boston just put limits on the number of unrelated people who may live in a single household, and the Boston Globe wrote a story about it. Is this really a problem in Cambridge? Why is this being brought up now? This seems like a solution in search of a problem.

Order #6. That the Mayor is requested to hold a special combined meeting, to be open to public comment and to be televised as with a normally scheduled meeting, of both the School Committee and the City Council to start a discussion on how to best coordinate various youth services.   Councillor Kelley, Councillor Seidel, Councillor Maher and Councillor Toomey

I expect this to generate discussion and future committee meetings, but it's worth noting that not all youth centers and other activities draw many participants. Part of this is political - building youth centers and establishing related programs makes for good copy on political campaign brochures, but this does not necessarily imply either good planning, good allocation of resources, or practical benefits. Cambridge politicians love to build youth centers on which they can hang their hats (and possibly their names) even if nobody shows up at them. My model program would integrate the Police Department and the Recreation Department in a manner similar to the Police Athletic League in New York City. In such a model, you would get all the best aspects of community policing as well as better security and supervision. In my opinion, there is far too much emphasis on youth centers. Whatever happened to the community schools model? Does it make any sense to have school buildings and their facilities open only during school hours and a limited range of after-school activities?

Order #7. That the Government Operations Committee review City Council policy on Public Comment with a view towards making any necessary amendments and report back to the City Council on this matter.   Mayor Simmons

I'm not sure what the mayor has in mind with this order, but we would all benefit from changes that limit the role of the narcissists that now dominate public comment at City Council meetings. There's an old phrase we used to hear a lot around Cambridge: “The bad drive out the good.” When nut cases (do I really have to name them) turn the opening of every City Council meeting into a circus side show, this benefits no one and does nothing to promote democracy. Of course you don't really have to refer this to a committee for a solution. All it takes is a mayor with a firm hand and a heavy gavel. Enough already!

Order #8. That the City Manager is requested to report back to the City Council on the impact an exodus of bio-tech companies from Cambridge may have on the tax base of our city, and further report back on Northpoint and what likelihood there may be for further development.   Mayor Simmons, Councillor Reeves and Councillor Toomey

I mention this item only to note the changing tone over the course of the last 10 to 15 years. There was a time when entities like the Cambridge Citizens for Livable Neighborhoods (CCLN) and it's cousin, the Cambridge Citizens for Growth Management (CCGM) were very vocal in opposing any kind of development in Cambridge, and many elected officials would butt heads with City planners and the City Manager over development issues. Nowadays, the tone seems to be consistently one of maintaining the revenue stream to support every imaginable affordable housing program and human services program in addition to a parade of major capital projects. I offer no opinion on this shift in political winds - I merely note the change in the weather. -- Robert Winters

 

Mar 19, 2008 - Massachusetts state budget reaches “point of reckoning” - MassInc

Mar 19, 2008 - Who's Zoomin' Who? (Harvard Crimson story "School Super Urged to Stay")

The Cambridge School Committee, really three members and a mayor, appear to be crafting their own new brand of dishonesty. In January, the School Committee voted 4-3 to extend the contract of Superintendent of Schools Thomas Fowler-Finn, though they did not at that time specify a term for the contract extension. The devil may be in the lack of details. In the initial vote on contract extension, members Fred Fantini, Joe Grassi, Nancy Tauber, and newly elected mayor Denise Simmons voted for the contract extension. The opposing votes were Marc McGovern, Patricia Nolan, and Luc Schuster. Some (and this includes me) felt that Simmons' vote was tied to her getting the votes of her Council colleagues to become mayor. It's not unusual that the mayoral selection hinges on some understanding about how the selected mayor will act in his or her role as Chair of the School Committee.

There was some cause for concern at the time of the January contract vote that no term was specified. Cynics (and this includes me) worried that Simmons' deciding vote might have been just the formal conclusion of a deal with her City Council colleagues and that what followed might be a negotiation in which the proposed terms might be so minimal or unacceptable that it would amount to a de facto rejection. The fact that there has been no resolution after two months in what is absolutely a cut-and-dried question is an indication that this School Committee may not have any understanding of what constitutes an understanding. Simmons statement that “you don’t want to rush something that’s so important” is bewildering at best.

Though I have personally only gone to a couple of School Committee meetings this year, I have watched portions of several other meetings on TV. My impression is that this is one of the most dysfunctional groups to have ever occupied the seats in the Henrietta S. Attles Meeting Room. With two petulant children serving on the School Committee, I suppose this was to be expected. What we could use is some leadership from the mayor, but for that we may just have to wait and see.  -- Robert Winters

Feb 26, 2008 - Cash is King in Council Elections (by Sarah Howland, Harvard Crimson)

Feb 26, 2008 - Sometimes The Right is right: Decommissioning the peaceniks (Cambridge Chronicle)


Jan 29, 2008, 11:00pm - The Cambridge School Committee tonight passed on a 4-3 vote a motion to enter into negotiations for a contract extension with Superintendent Thomas Fowler-Finn.
Voting in favor: Fred Fantini, Joe Grassi, Nancy Tauber, Denise Simmons
Voting against: Marc McGovern, Patty Nolan, Luc Schuster

I'm not aware of the length of the extension or of any other conditions. Much of that will presumably be determined during the contract negotiations.

          

January 14 - It's Mayor Simmons and Vice-Mayor Murphy

My fellow occupant in the balcony of the Sullivan Chamber called it as soon as people began arriving for tonight's City Council meeting. The tip-off was the assembled campaign people, family and friends of Denise Simmons over on her side of the Sullivan Chamber. All that remained was to see how the details would play out. Rumors had been swirling since last week about which councillors were going to cross over to cut the deal to make either Denise Simmons, Henrietta Davis, or Brian Murphy mayor. In the end, it was Simmons who was able to garner the five votes and Henrietta Davis and Brian Murphy made it clear as the roll call got underway that the outcome would not be determined this time around by the Billy Walsh coalition. The coalition of the reasonable, including freshman Councillor Sam Seidel, would determine the outcome. In the end, after the outcome was clear, both the vote for mayor and for vice-chair of the City Council was made unanimous as the other councillors changed their votes.

This promises to be a good City Council term. Newly elected Mayor Simmons showed us that the Sullivan spirit is still alive and well in the Sullivan Chamber as she swiftly and expertly moved through the City Council agenda and wrapped up the meeting by 7:30pm. We've had to suffer through two years of poorly run meetings that often dragged on toward midnight, but there's hope now that we'll see efficiently run meetings and good City Council subcommittee appointments. The best start would be to give Henrietta Davis any and all appointments she wants since she's been the most consistent in her committee meeting attendance and preparation.

There was a comic moment late in the meeting when Councillor Kelley spoke on an Order from Henrietta Davis asking the City Manager to publish Cambridge's snow removal policies “in the Cambridge Chronicle and other local papers” several times this winter. Kenneth Errol Reeves responded that the City should not use the Cambridge Chronicle at all - continuing the kafuffle that raged last year between him and the Chronicle. Councillor Decker then weighed in on the side of Reeves and exercised her charter right to delay the Order until the next Council meeting.

For the record, the mayoral vote (the 2nd ballot officially) initially had Davis, Kelley, Murphy, Reeves, Seidel, and Simmons voting for Denise Simmons; Maher and Toomey voting for Tim Toomey; and Decker voting “present” (I won't even bother trying to figure that one out). David Maher then asked to change his vote to Simmons and make the vote unanimous. Decker then changed her vote to Simmons and City Clerk Margaret Drury gaveled the vote closed before Councillor Toomey had a chance to weigh in - declaring the vote unanimous even though no such vote was taken. I suppose you could argue that the vote was actually an 8-1 vote for Simmons since the rules are clear that the vote is final when the gavel drops. Nonetheless, Councillor Toomey did ask to have his vote changed to Denise Simmons after she had already been sworn in. Let's just call it unanimous, regardless of the technicalities.

The vote for Vice-Chair of the City Council (traditionally called Vice-Mayor) came next. In the initial vote, all councillors except Decker voted for Brian Murphy. Decker again voted “present”. Only afterwards did she join the others as she changed her vote to Murphy to make the vote unanimous.

Some have focused on Denise Simmons' racial and gender identity in regard to her election as mayor. I prefer to think of her as the person who has shown more interest in local Cambridge history than any of the other city councillors. In this regard, she and I are siblings. Cambridge is a city with a history like few others in the United States, and it's great to have someone in the public eye who appreciates this. -- Robert Winters


Mayor Simmons


Vice-Mayor Murphy

January 11 - Thankfully, what appeared to be a move for a quick vote Friday on a contract extension for the School Superintendent (Tom Fowler-Finn) turned out to be an informational meeting only with no votes taken. There will be a public School Committee meeting at CRLS on Wednesday, January 16 at 6:00pm on the topic of the Superintendent's contract, and public comment will be permitted at this meeting. Let's hope the city councillors can put their differences and self-interest aside and settle on a mayor on Monday so that there will be a properly constituted School Committee before this very important matter will be seriously considered.

Make no mistake about it. This is a very important matter and the public has every reason to be concerned. This is one rare occasion where the electorate actually has a stake in the outcome of the mayoral selection, particularly those who have children in the Cambridge public schools. Some of us, including me, are teachers who have strong feelings about maintaining stability in the public schools and who want to keep the current revival on track. I teach mathematics at the college level (Brandeis University and the Harvard Extension School), and my primary concern is that most students graduating from the Cambridge public schools should be fluent in mathematics and able to travel the road toward good opportunities requiring technical skills. I believe we now have, at long last, a Superintendent who has created an environment that can best make this a reality. Almost all of the Cambridge public school teachers I've met agree.

So here's my bottom line on the mayoral issue. If the selection of mayor turns out to make the difference between keeping or not keeping Tom Fowler-Finn for at least a few more years, then I fervently hope the City Council will have the wisdom to choose as their mayor someone favorable to a contract extension for the Superintendent. Based on what I've been hearing, the swing vote could be our newest city councillor, Sam Seidel. Nobody ever said this was going to be a job without controversy and difficult choices. Let's also hope that Sam has the wisdom to not get snookered by those whose real agenda is their own self-interest.  -- Robert Winters


January 9 - Like a nagging infection, Kenneth E. Reeves appears to be trying to force a quick vote on School Superintendent Tom Fowler-Finn's contract while he's still in a position to do so. The next City Council meeting will take place on Monday, January 14 and there's a good chance a mayor will be elected at that time. With the clock ticking, Mr. Reeves in his capacity as acting mayor today issued the following NOTICE:

By order of his honor, Kenneth E. Reeves, acting in accordance with chapter I, section 3 of the rules of the School Committee, there will be a Special Meeting at 6:30pm Friday, January 11, 2008, in the Henrietta S. Attles meeting room, Cambridge Rindge and Latin School, 459 Broadway, for the purpose of discussing strategy for contract negotiations with nonunion personnel. [signed by Marilyn Y. Bradshaw, Exec. Secretary to the School Committee]

What this translates into is that the School Committee is being called to a Special Meeting by Reeves for the specific purpose of taking up the matter of the Superintendent's contract before the City Council has a chance to elect a mayor for the 2008-2009 term. Though we can only speculate at this point, this startling development could mean that there may be five votes to elect as mayor either Henrietta Davis or Brian Murphy or someone else agreeable to a contract extension for Fowler-Finn. If this is the case, Reeves would have to force a vote before Monday in order to have the most favorable odds of having his way before the gavel can be pried out of his hand.

It's not completely clear where the votes are on the School Committee regarding the matter of Fowler-Finn's contract. The last time this question came up, Fred Fantini, Joe Grassi, Luc Schuster, and Nancy Walser voted for a contract extension. Richard Harding, Patty Nolan, and Reeves voted against the extension. At the time, Richard Harding and Luc Schuster were seen as the swing votes and the responsibility fell on the shoulders of Luc Schuster to cast the deciding vote. Nancy Walser has now left the School Committee and was replaced by Nancy Tauber who will likely also vote for another contract extension. Richard Harding lost his seat to Marc McGovern who is outspoken in the extreme in his opposition to Fowler-Finn. If all else remains equal, even with Reeves scrambling to get in his vote, it would still be a 4-3 vote for an extension unless either Fantini, Grassi, or Schuster have a change of heart. After Monday, the odds could shift further in favor of Fowler-Finn.

Let's hope that School Committee members Grassi, Fantini, Schuster, and Tauber see this maneuver for what it is - an undemocratic power grab. Regardless how the votes may eventually fall on the Fowler-Finn question, this important matter should not be decided in this manner. Let's wait until at least next week when the City Council at least has a chance to properly choose their one representative on the School Committee.  -- Robert Winters


January 7, 2008 - Inauguration Day

The Inaugural meeting of the Cambridge City Council takes place this morning starting at 10:00am in the Sullivan Chamber at City Hall - the first time in over 70 years that a member of the Sullivan family will not be inaugurated. While most of the meeting will be taken up with processions, introduction of family and friends, and the swearing of oaths to the City, the State, and the United States, there will be one order of business - the election of the mayor and of the vice-chair of the City Council.

As I've stated before, the outcome of the vote doesn't really matter all that much to so many people. How the vote comes down, however, could affect the way the elected councillors interact with each other over the next two years. The choice of mayor may also affect the upcoming vote on School Superintendent Tom Fowler-Finn's contract, but a delay in choosing a mayor will also affect that vote since the Council's most senior member (by a few minutes), Kenneth E. Reeves, will chair the School Committee until a mayor is chosen and Mr. Reeves opposed Fowler-Finn the last time the question came up. For what it's worth, my sense is that Councillors Davis, Murphy, Maher, and Toomey tend to come down as supportive of Fowler-Finn. Councillors Kelley, Decker, and Reeves have been clearly outspoken in their opposition to Fowler-Finn. Councillor Simmons also appears to be opposed to Fowler-Finn judging from her reaction to the last contract vote, but you never know what deals will be made in order to garner the five votes necessary to become mayor. I don't know what freshman Councillor Sam Seidel's position is on Fowler-Finn.

Of course, city councillors generally keep their focus a little closer to home, so it's not at all clear how much, if any, the Fowler-Finn question will play into the mayoral vote.

Objectively speaking, Councillor Davis probably has the best case to make for why she should get the nod. She's come close before and has served since 1996 without taking the chair. She topped the ticket as measured by #1 vote totals and was the only councillor elected with a surplus, she has experience on the School Committee, and (for what it's worth) she would handily win in an instant runoff election based on the ballots cast in November. On the other hand, there is a history of the City Council not favoring candidates who fared well at the polls due to the competitive advantage that may be derived from being mayor. Councillor Simmons will likely have made the case that her presence on the School Committee will provide racial balance now that Richard Harding was defeated in November. Councillor Simmons can also point to her experience on the School Committee prior to her election to the City Council. Councillors Toomey and Maher can also claim that experience.

There are terms used in the recycling industry that come to mind in this context - positive sort and negative sort. When commingled potentially recyclable material rolls down the sorting line, a positive sort is where you pick out all the good stuff and let the rest go over the edge into the dumpster at the end of the line destined for disposal. A negative sort is where everything is presumed recyclable, contaminants are removed from the line, and everything else rumbles on down on the way to an end market. The choice of mayor should be a "positive sort" based on an affirmative vote for a person who is really supported by those who voted for that person. This should never be a "negative sort" where a candidate receives five votes just to prevent someone else from getting the nod. Unfortunately, we have seen "negative sort" mayors before. Let's hope we start out the 2008-2009 term on a positive note.

And with that, I'm off to City Hall for the vote. The School Committee will be inaugurated at 5:30pm.  -- Robert Winters

Addendum - after the 1st ballot

Well, the vote took place and it's deadlocked. Councillor Simmons picked up votes from Craig Kelley and Sam Seidel for a total of three; Councillor Toomey added David Maher's vote for a total of two; and Councillors Davis, Decker, Murphy, and Reeves each voted for themselves. The next vote will take place at the start of  business at next Monday's City Council meeting (Jan 14). If it's not settled then, the next opportunity will be two weeks later (Jan 28). The vote on the School Superintendent's contract extension must take place by the end of January.

My sense is that some of the councillors voted for themselves today not so much because they think they have a shot at becoming mayor, but rather to delay the vote for more time to wheel and deal. There seems to be a fragile coalition among Councillors Davis, Kelley, Murphy, Seidel, and Simmons that will ultimately decide the outcome, but Councillors Davis, Murphy, and Simmons all have serious aspirations for the job. That's the real deadlock here. On the other side, former councillor Billy Walsh appears again to be trying to determine the outcome by working with Councillors Decker and Reeves, but getting the necessary five votes may no longer be possible no matter what kind of pact with the devil is offered. That leaves Councillors Maher and Toomey who could possibly settle things quickly by talking turkey with the aforementioned coalition of five.

I'm not backing a particular horse in the race, but I do consider it to be very important that this coalition of five to seven reasonable and honorable men and women should determine the outcome.


Jan 3, 2008 - Handicapping the mayoral sweepstakes - First, let's be clear that the choice for who will be mayor this term really only matters to about 20 people in the city - the 9 councillors, the 6 elected School Committee members, and the handful of people who will be rewarded with jobs in the Mayor's Office. For those of us who have attended City Council meetings over the years, it could mean the difference between attending and not attending. If the councillors make an intelligent choice on Monday, January 7 or soon thereafter it may still be worth watching the conduct of the meetings, the appointments of the Council committees and their Chairs, and the work of the committees. Primarily, I hope the councillors choose a Chair who the majority of residents can support and that the choice is made honorably with little or no deal-making behind the scenes. I have no idea what kind of alchemy will go into the decision or if it will happen on the 1st ballot. Good luck!

Based on watching the councillors and candidates over the last few years, here's my impressionistic take on the support for each of the 7 possible candidates (listed alphabetically):

Davis - 6 favorable, 1 unfavorable, 2 unknown

Decker - 3 favorable, 4 unfavorable, 2 unknown

Maher - 4 favorable, 0 unfavorable, 5 unknown

Murphy - 5 favorable, 0 unfavorable, 4 unknown

Reeves - 3 favorable, 2 unfavorable, 4 unknown

Simmons - 5 favorable, 0 unfavorable, 4 unknown

Toomey - 4 favorable, 0 unfavorable, 5 unknown

Neither Craig Kelley nor newly-elected councillor Sam Seidel has expressed interest in being mayor.

The thing that makes it difficult, if not impossible, to predict what will happen is that the most viable candidates will likely need the votes of other viable candidates in order to get the necessary five votes. If the 1st ballot fails to elect a mayor, votes may shift to get the job done on the 2nd ballot.

If the vote remains deadlocked after the first few ballots, then almost anything is possible.